February 24, 2024

Even after holding off Nikki Haley for second place within the Iowa Republican caucuses Monday night time, Gov. Ron DeSantis’ probabilities to realize floor on Donald Trump in New Hampshire subsequent week aren’t good, political analysts say.

“He’s doing actually poorly within the New Hampshire polls,” stated Dave Peterson, a political scientist at Iowa State College. “He’s not doing a lot better within the different [state] polls. And I simply don’t know what would shift issues in his path.”

So as an alternative, the Florida governor flew on to South Carolina, which holds its main on Feb. 24, to assault former governor Haley on her house turf. He was due in New Hampshire for a city corridor late Tuesday on CNN.

“Haley, she was governor right here for six years,” DeSantis stated at a marketing campaign cease in Greenville, S.C., in keeping with CBS Information. “Are you able to identify main achievements underneath her tenure?”

DeSantis misplaced to Trump in Iowa by almost 30 proportion factors and topped Haley by simply 2.1 factors. The second-place displaying prompted the governor to proclaim his “ticket punched” out of the state. 

However DeSantis trails Haley by massive margins in most up-to-date polls in New Hampshire, which holds its main on Jan. 23.

A CNN/College of New Hampshire survey final week confirmed Haley at 32% to Trump’s 39%. DeSantis was in fifth place at 5%, behind former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy, each of whom have dropped out of the race.

One other ballot launched Tuesday from the New Hampshire-based American Analysis Group had Trump and Haley tied at 40% within the state, with DeSantis languishing at 4%.

Haley declared the Republican main “a two-person race” in Iowa on Monday night time, regardless of dropping to No. 3 within the outcomes.

Dante Scala, a political scientist on the College of New Hampshire, stated the DeSantis marketing campaign has not made his state a precedence.

“Clearly, he’s been centered solely on Iowa,” Scala stated. “And while you activate the tv information right here in New Hampshire, you see numerous Haley adverts, Trump adverts … however DeSantis is nowhere to be seen. And consequently, his assist right here has solely dwindled.”

Trump wins large, DeSantis finishes a distant second in Iowa caucuses

His totals in Iowa helped dispel discuss that he may drop out of the race this week if he got here in a disappointing third. It may additionally assist him considerably heading into New Hampshire, Scala stated.

“Maybe he takes a few of these quote, unquote, tender Trump voters,” Scala stated. “Possibly he picks up some [Vivek] Ramaswamy voters. He may type of nibble across the edges of Trump’s assist and provides these tender Trump voters a motive to imagine [in him].”

Any Iowa increase, Scala added, is also short-lived as DeSantis’ model of tradition wars doesn’t play properly in his state, Scala stated.

“New Hampshire Republicans are typically searching for various things than Iowa Republicans, and specifically, New Hampshire Republicans don’t have a tendency to love social conservatives, spiritual conservatives, tradition warriors,” Scala stated. “So the Iowa bounce doesn’t normally play out very properly in New Hampshire.”

In Iowa on Monday night time, Trump gave faint reward to his two important opponents after ending with 51% of the vote, surpassing his aim of fifty%.

“I wish to congratulate Ron and Nikki for having a great time collectively,” Trump stated. “We’re all having a great time collectively. And I believe they each really did very properly. I actually do.”

Scala stated he believes DeSantis’ days as a presidential candidate are numbered.

“The marketing campaign loss of life watch” has began to tick, the New Hampshire professor stated. “No matter he would do right here gained’t cease that clock from ticking.”